Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 52.816322 60.221928 67.892070 76.398449 85.537767 95.033295 105.615842
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 42.476638 53.063999 64.615549 78.026701 93.044789 109.229743 127.877680
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 34.883495 46.915061 60.588994 77.014125 95.956339 116.886453 141.535931
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 29.105381 41.969356 57.148543 75.937302 98.153959 123.212876 153.249218
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 25.135037 38.649392 55.143702 76.097746 101.400182 130.424619 165.708627
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 21.900265 35.850450 53.432839 76.309046 104.455991 137.223140 177.543579
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 19.396521 33.710927 52.303064 77.021971 107.944942 144.407117 189.741938
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 16.618943 30.887957 50.041505 76.097606 109.258126 148.870481 198.636736
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 15.013713 29.542156 49.584918 77.359455 113.189093 156.423978 211.175785
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 13.719840 28.510263 49.444670 78.948727 117.474543 164.379606 224.194956
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 11.821779 26.346688 47.577300 78.120793 118.587094 168.375737 232.387005
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.839455 23.806888 44.986751 76.157813 118.108555 170.304536 237.987403
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 9.373803 23.761565 46.027207 79.200050 124.217093 180.556907 253.937637
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.645925 23.183437 46.229485 81.056231 128.768971 188.880044 267.564638
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.319495 21.361711 44.424786 79.992020 129.374079 192.164060 274.922364
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.150093 19.656268 42.670186 78.893327 129.851853 195.229165 281.969918
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.363142 18.582513 41.832858 79.057062 131.991539 200.398266 291.642170
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.672860 17.599476 41.068975 79.273511 134.166781 205.594796 301.346991
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.140058 16.873238 40.676204 80.003488 137.026914 211.673511 312.175495
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.420349 15.576517 39.220103 79.056990 137.505819 214.610349 318.997458
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.084175 15.151085 39.243153 80.349029 141.111490 221.655585 331.074915
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.820218 14.865409 39.490362 81.976060 145.190291 229.336811 343.991119
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.301061 13.766864 38.190290 81.128492 145.715686 232.287702 350.825242